Xbaggypants Picks/Plays December 31st, 2013
Habs -115
Kings -115
Pens -125
Ducks -120
Blues -125
Flyers -115
Bruins/Jets +128
Ducks Under 1p -110 (1/2 Unit)
Kings Under 1p -145 (1/2 Unit)
BLues Under 1p -135 (1/2 Unit)
Habs -115
Kings -115
Pens -125
Ducks -120
Blues -125
Flyers -115
Bruins/Jets +128
Ducks Under 1p -110 (1/2 Unit)
Kings Under 1p -145 (1/2 Unit)
BLues Under 1p -135 (1/2 Unit)
NHL: CHI/VAN ML PARLAY +198
Hawks -140
Wings +100
Sens -120
Canucks (Reg) +115
Sens/Caps Under 1.5 1P -110 HALF UNIT
Hot teams
— Blackhawks won five of their last six home games.
— Red Wings won three of their last four games.
— Vancouver won ten of last twelve games. Flyers won four of their last five.
Cold teams
— Senators lost four of their last six games. Washington lost three of its last four.
— Kings lost their last two games, 3-2/5-2.
— Predators lost five of their last six games.
Totals
— Over is 4-1-1 in last six Ottawa games, 0-3 in Washington’s last three.
— Last three Chicago games went over the total.
— Seven of last ten Detroit games stayed under the total; over is 3-1-1 in Nashville’s last five.
— Over is 5-0-1 in Philly’s last six games; last four Canuck games stayed under.
Series records
— Senators won their last five games with Washington.
— Blackhawks won seven of last nine games with Los Angeles.
— Red Wings won three of last four games with Nashville.
— Canucks won three of last four games with Philly.
Back-to-back
— Washington is 3-3 if it played night before, 0-2 if it lost.
— Canucks are 5-3 if they played night before, 4-1 if they won.
College basketball information
St Bonaventure is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 4-15 points; Bonnies are forcing turnovers 22.8% of time (#17 in US)- this is their first home game in 27 days. Delaware is 6-1 vs teams outside top 100, 0-5 vs top 100 teams; Bonnies are #103. Blue Hens are making 37% from arc- they lost three of last four games, winning last game 108-107 in OT. This is first game in nine days for both sides.
Virginia beat Tennessee 46-38 LY, in one of worst games ever seen on ESPN, a brickfest where teams shot 4-27 from arc. Virginia lost by 3 at Green Bay in its only true road game; they turn ball over 20.6% of time, make just 64.5% from line. Vols are 2-3 vs top 100 teams, splitting pair with ACC teams- they’re 5-1 at home, losing 65-58 to NC State.
Toledo is quietly 12-0; none of its four road wins are over teams in top 150; Rockets’ best win was 103-99 over #103 Stony Brook on a neutral court. Kansas split its last six games but five of those were vs teams in top 50; Jayhawks are making 57.5% of shots inside arc- they haven’t played in nine days since whacking Georgetown by 22 in Lawrence.
Ole Miss lost three of last five games after 6-0 start; they’re 6-0 outside top 100, with five of six wins by 9+ points. Western Kentucky is 7-0 at home with upset over Southern Miss; Hilltoppers are turning ball over 22.5% of time, making just 30.8% from arc. WKU forces turnovers 21% of time- they’re 8-4 overall, with all four losses by ten or more points.
Louisiana Tech is 10-3, 0-3 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 13-9-15 points, including 70-55 loss to Oklahoma State. Bulldogs force turnover 23.5% of time (#13), shot 53.2% inside arc but may be in over their head athletically here. Oklahoma opens league play with Texas on Saturday; they’ve won last seven games- their best win is 82-73 over Alabama.
San Francisco rallied from down 35-27 at half to win WCC opener in OT at Portland Saturday; Dons are 3-15 in last 18 series games, losing ten in row here, last three by 17-11-14 points. Gonzaga’s big guy Dower sat out Saturday’s 74-60 win over Santa Clara, game they led by hoop with 10:00 left. Zags outscored Broncos 23-6 on foul line Saturday, are #13 in US, making 41.9% of its 3-pointers.
Saint Louis won its last five games, is 11-2, with true road wins by 24-9-2 points; Billikens are experienced but their PG shoots 58% from foul line, making end-game situations little dicey. Vanderbilt won last three games, two by a hoop here; they turn ball over 20.4% of time, make only 62.2% of FTs. SLU is forcing turnovers 22.7% of time, #19 in US.
Santa Clara swept Portland by 24-12 points LY, after losing eight of ten series games before that; Broncos lost five of last six visits here, losing by 6-1-13-10-10 points. Pilots blew 8-point halftime lead, lost by 6 in OT Saturday despite making 10-20 from arc; USF shot 69.2% inside arc vs Portland. Santa Clara is 1-5 on road, with all five losses by 11+ pts.
San Diego won its last three games with Loyola Marymount, winning its last two visits here by total of four points; Toreros lost last two away games overall, by 7-11 points- they’ve lost four of last five D-I games. LMU made 8-17 from arc, was +6 in turnovers in upset win over BYU Saturday; Lions had been shotting under 28% from arc before Saturday.
BYU won its four WCC games vs Pepperdine by average of 19 points, but wins here were by 13-2 points; Cougars got upset in WCC opener at LMU, are 1-4 on road- their only road win was 112-103 at Stanford in ESPN Marathon game seven weeks ago. Waves are 0-2 vs teams in top 100, losing by 8 to Green Bay, 3 to Indiana State- they’re making 38.3% of their 3’s, #51 in country.
St Mary’s is without coach Bennett here, as he begins 5-game ban from NCAA; Gaels went 0-3 on Hawai’i trip after starting 9-0; all three o fits losses are by 7 or less points. St Mary’s lost by 10 Pacific on neutral floor LY, before Tigers joined WCC; Pacific hasn’t played in nine days since splitting pair in Vegas; they’re 1-2 vs top 100 teams, with 10-pt win at Utah State an attention grabber.
Fordham beat Siena last two years by 6-15 points; Rams won five of seven vs teams outside top 200, losing to Sacred Heart/Monmouth by 12-9 points. Saints turn ball over 21.4% of time, make just 30.7% from arc- they beat St Bonaventure, Hofstra in last two home games, after losing home opener to Albany. Fordham bench played total of only 36 minutes in 94-86 home loss to Harvard Saturday.
Jacksonville State won last three games with UT-Martin by 11-31-10 points, winning 77-46 in Skyhawks’ last visit here. JSU is 4-9 vs D-I teams, with best win by 11 over #281 Coppin State on a neutral floor. Martin is 2-6 on road; their opponents shoot 59.8% inside arc, 39% on arc- they’re 3-10 vs D-I teams, with best win over #291 Samford. .
NBA information
Hot teams
— Wizards won four of their last five games (4-1 last five AU).
— Grizzlies won three of their last four games (4-1 last five HF).
— Timberwolves won last three home games, by 7-11-22. Mavericks covered six of last seven games as a road underdog.
— Trailblazers won seven of their last nine games. New Orleans won its last three home games.
— Miami won seven of last eight games, winning in Portland w/o James.
— Suns won nine of their last eleven games. Clippers won six of their last eight games.
Cold Teams
— Pistons lost four of their last five games (1-4 last five HF).
— Bulls lost five of last seven games, are 5-10 vs spread on road.
— Denver lost its last six games, is 4-9 vs spread at home.
— Bobcats lost three of their last four games, but are 11-1-1 vs spread on road. Utah lost four of its last five home games.
Series records
— Wizards beat Detroit by 24 Saturday, ending 7-game series skid.
— Grizzlies won last three games against Chicago.
— Minnesota beat Dallas twice this year, by 8-6 points.
— Blazers won six of last eight games with New Orleans.
— Heat lost four of their last five visits to Denver.
— Jazz won last nine games with Bobcats (7-2 vs spread).
— Clippers won three of last four games with Phoenix.
Totals
— Last eight Detroit home games went over total.
— Five of last seven Chicago games stayed under total.
— Five of last seven Minnesota home games stayed under; six of last seven Dallas games went over.
— Last eight Portland games went over the total.
— Seven of last eight Miami games went over; last eight Denver home games stayed under the total.
— Five of last six Charlotte road games went over total.
— Three of last four Clipper home games stayed under.
East Carolina won 62-53 at Georgia State LY, in brickfest where teams were combined 11-42 from arc. ECU has played four non-D-I games, a lot- their best win was over #198 Norfolk State- they’re 6-1 vs teams not in top 100. Georgia State scored 83.7 ppg in winning last three games; Panthers turn ball over less (12.8%) than any team in whole country.
Drexel doesn’t sub much, especially since Lee got hurt; Dragons are 7-0 vs teams outside top 100, with last three of those wins by 10+ points. Buffalo is 0-4 on road, with three losses by 11+ points; they turn ball over 20.8% of time, make only 31.4% from arc. Bulls lost to Manhattan in OT in its only other game so far this year against a top 100 team.
Bowling Green outscored Wright State 19-5 on foul line in 54-41 win vs Raiders LY, holding Wright to 19 second half points; Falcons won last three games this year, allowing 63.7 ppg, but they’re turning ball it over 20.8% of time, making 28.3% from arc, 62.7% on line, not good. Wright State forces turnovers 25.6% of the time, #3 in country.
Stanford opens Pac-12 play with rival Cal Thursday; this is last tuneup for that, vs Cal Poly team that already lost by 11 at Arizona, at Oregon by 21, as well as by 17 at Pitt. Mustangs are making just 26.3% from arc, 64.1% on line. Cardinal is 4-0 vs teams outside top 150, with three of four wins by 27+- they’ve been off for eight days since Michigan loss.
Georgia Tech is 1-4 vs teams in top 100; best win is over #49 Illinois by 3 at home; Jackets won by 9 at Georgia, lost at Vandy by 13, lost to St John’s in Brooklyn by 13- only two of their 10 wins are against teams in top 250. Charlotte beat K-State/Michigan, then loss at Florida State by 45; they turn ball over 20.6% of time- they play at a fast tempo (#36).
Maryland has been off for eight days since home loss to Boston U, a bad loss; Terps turn ball over 19.9% of time, make 63.6% from line- four of their seven wins are vs teams ranked #238 or lower. Tulsa is coached by Danny Manning; their only top 200 win was by point over Indiana St in game they trailed by 3 with 0:53 left. Tulsa is 0-4 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 23-10-8-10 points.
Drake is 8-3 with true road wins at Ill-Chicago/Fresno State; Bulldogs make 39.6% from arc- they’re 5-2 in games decided by 9 or less points. IUPUI lost last four games, losing in OT at SE Missouri in its last game Monday; Jaguars are 1-2 vs MVC teams, losing by 6-20 points, with an upset of Bradley. Drake’s only road loss was 67-63 at St Mary’s.
Notre Dame lost its leading scorer Grant just as they’re about to start its first season in ACC; Irish were already playing its bench 8th-fewest minutes in country, so they’re very thin- they have Duke coming into start their ACC schedule Saturday. Canisius holds teams to 26.5% from arc, #4 in country- they’re 3-1 vs teams in top 150, but St Conaventure is best team they’ve played and they’re ranked #106.
Fort Wayne has played easy schedule so far but is still 8-4 vs D-I teams, but best win was over #184 Dartmouth. Mastodons are making 40.5% of 3’s, 52.9% of 2’s but turn ball over 20.6% of time. Eastern Kentucky lost to Youngstown by 8 in its only game against a team ranked between #76-225- they play lot of bad teams, and a few money-grab games.
Missouri State is 9-2 vs shaky schedule, but they did beat Texas A&M on neutral floor- their only losses are Virginia/Louisville, top 25 teams. Bears make 38% from arc, only 45.8% inside it. SE Missouri lost by 23 to Saint Louis, 12 at Memphis in its only two games vs teams ranked in top 250. Both of these teams start conference play Thursday night.
Cal-Riverside is 3-7 vs D-I teams, but 2-1 vs Big Sky clubs, winning by 5-15 points over Montana State/So Utah, losing at Northern Colorado by 3. Highlanders turn ball over 21.5% of time, make just 28.7% from arc, but their defense has improved. Sacramento won by 6 at Cal-Davis, lost by 26-8 to Irvine/Fullerton, two other Big West opponents.
Road teams won both North Dakota-Northern Colorado games LY, in UND’s first year in Big Sky; Bears won 75-66 at UND, Sioux won by a hoop in rematch in Greeley. North Dakota is 0-7 vs D-I teams thos year, 0-4 on road, with losses by 15-10-15-18 points- teams are making 57% of shots inside arc against them. Northern Colorado won at Kansas State by a hoop; their next best win is over #288 Riverside by 3.
Oregon State is 7-4 against the #325 schedule, 3-3 vs teams ranked in #100-200 range, with wins by 6-9-4 points. Beavers start Pac-12 play at Colorado Thursday. Quinnipiac is 2-3 on road, losing by 6-11-12 points in its first year in MAAC- they’re 0-2 vs teams in top 130, losing by 6 to LaSalle, by 3 to Boston U. Bobcats are shooting only 28.8% on 3’s.
NBA information
Hot teams
— Warriors won their last four games, by 19-8-2-29 points (4-4-1 AF).
— Hawks won five of their last six games.
— Oklahoma City is 11-1 in last 12 games, but is without Westbrook now. Rockets won four of their last five games (6-3 AU).
Cold Teams
— Cavaliers lost six of last seven games (6-1 HU).
— Magic lost five of their last seven games.
— Kings won/covered once in their last five road games. Spurs are 1-6 vs spread in last seven home games.
— 76ers covered once in their last eight road games. Lakers lost their last four games.
Series records
— Warriors won their last five games with Cleveland.
— Hawks won 11 of last 12 games with Orlando.
— Thunder won ten of last fifteen games with Houston.
— Spurs won 16 of last 17 vs Sacramento (7-4 vs spread last 11).
— 76ers won two of last three vs Lakers; they split last four visits here.
Totals
— Last five Cleveland home games went over total; four of Warriors’ last five road games stayed under.
— Last eight Atlanta games went over the total.
— Four of last five Houston road games stayed under.
— Five of last six Sacramento road games went over.
— Six of last seven Laker home games stayed under total; over is 5-0-1 in last six Philly games.
Back-to-backs
— Cavaliers are 4-4 vs spread if they played night before (2-1H).
— Hawks are 2-4 vs spread if they played night before.
— Rockets are 7-1 vs spread if they played night before.
— 76ers are 0-3 vs spread if they lost the night before.
Hot teams
— Sabres won four of their last five home games.
— Canadiens won three of their last four games.
— Pittsburgh won eight of its last nine games. Columbus won its last three games, allowing a total of seven goals.
— Dallas Stars won four of their last five games. Blues won three of their last four.
— Lightning won five of their last six games.
— Canucks won nine of their last eleven games.
— Anaheim won its last ten games. Sharks won their last three, all in shootouts.
Cold teams
— Washington is 3-4 in its last seven games.
— Panthers lost their last three games, allowing 15 goals.
— Hurricanes lost seven of their last eight games; Toronto lost seven of last ten.
— Rangers lost seven of their last ten games.
— Calgary lost five of its last six games.
— Minnesota lost last four games, outscored 19-8. Islanders lost 14 of their last 17 games.
— Colorado lost four of last five games. Winnipeg lost last three road games, outscored 12-5.
Totals
— Six of last eight Washington-Buffalo games went over total.
— Five of last seven Montreal games stayed under total; last four Florida games went over.
— Four of last five Penguin games went over the total.
— Last five St Louis games went over the total; under is 4-1 in last five Dallas games. .
— Over is 3-0-1 in last four Carolina games.
— Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Tampa Bay games.
— Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Vancouver games.
— Over is 13-5-1 in Islander road games.
— Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Winnipeg games.
— Over is 3-1-1 in last five San Jose games.
Series records
— Sabres lost four of last five games with Washington.
— Canadiens won three of last four games with Florida.
— Penguins won their last four games with Columbus.
— Dallas Stars lost six of last seven games with St Louis.
— Maple Leafs lost five of last six games with Carolina.
— Rangers won three of last four games with Tampa Bay.
— Canucks won five of last six games with Calgary.
— Islanders won four of last five games with Minnesota.
— Jets are 0-2 vs Colorado this season, losing 2-0/4-3so.
— Sharks won their last three games with Anaheim.
Back-to-back
— Canadiens are 4-2 if they played night before. Florida is 2-5.
— Blues are 1-4 if they played the night before.
— Tampa Bay is 4-1 if it played the night before.
— Islanders are 2-7 if they played the night before.
— Ducks won five of six if they played night before.
Ducks +140
Canes +120
Blues -120
Canucks -140
Wild/Islanders Under 1.5 1P -140 HALF UNIT
Rangers/Lightning Under 1.5 1P -150 HALF UNIT
Kings +105 (REG)
Habs +105
Devils +120
Habs/Lightning Under 1.5 -145 1P
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