Friday’s college basketball
Buffalo lost three of its last five games, is 6-5 in MAC, 3-2 on road, losing at Bat St/EMU; Bulls don’t shoot, making 30.7% of their 3’s (#295), 67.1% on foul line (#284)- they rebound 36.1% of their missed shots (#9). Four of their last five games were decided by 4 or fewer points. Toledo lost five of its last six games, is 4-8 in MAC, losing four of last five home games. Rockets are making 37.6% of its 3’s (#19). Buffalo won its last four games with Toledo; teams split last four meetings here. Favorites covered last five series games.
Akron is 8-3 in MAC, winning four of five road games, with lone loss by point at Kent State; Zips allowed 58-59 points in winning last two games- they’re shooting 38.3% on arc (#12), getting 38% of their points on arc (#29). Akron’s eFG% is #57. Central Michigan lost its last two games by total of 8 points; they’re 6-4 in MAC, 4-2 at home, losing to Buffalo/EMU. CMU’s opponents are shooting 37.9% on arc this year (#339). Akron won 18 of last 21 games with CMU, but they lost two of last three visits to Mt Pleasant. Favorites are 4-1-1 ATS in last six series games.
Dartmouth lost its last nine games, is 0-6 in Ivy League, but five of those losses were on road- they lost only Ivy home game by 4 to Harvard. Big Green is shooting only 31% on arc (#285), 65% on line (#323). Columbia lost its last five games, is 1-5 in Ivy, losing all three road games, by 12-31-6 points. Dartmouth won four of last five games with Columbia; Lions lost their last three visits to Hanover, by 1-2-16 points. Favorites are 5-3 ATS in last eight series games. Ivy League home favorites are 7-4 ATS this season.
Northern Kentucky shot 77.4% inside arc, made 13-35 on arc in its 96-71 win over IUPUI Jan 12; Norse won four of five Horizon meetings, splitting pair of visits here, losing 83-77 LY.NKU won four in row, nine of last ten games; they’re 10-3 inn Horizon, winning last four home games, three of them by 19+ points. IUPUI is 4-20 this season, 2-11 in Horizon- they lost last four games, but last two losses were by total of only 7 points, losing last game to Milwaukee in OT. Horizon League double digit home favorites are 3-7 ATS this season.
Yale/Princeton are tied for first in Ivy League; this is a big game. Bulldogs won 12 of last 14 games, with only Ivy loss by point at home to Harvard; Bulldogs are shooting 37.8% on arc (#18); their eFG% is #16- they get 37.2% of their points on arc (#43). Princeton won eight of last ten games; their only Ivy loss was by 11 at Cornell. Tigers don’t defend arc well; opponents are making 34.9% of their 3’s (#266). Yale won its last four games with Princeton, but they lost three of last four games in Jadwin Gym- they beat Tigers 83-77 in Ivy tourney LY.
Siena is 10-0 at home, 1-10 on road; they won four of last five games, are grabbing 34.5% of missed shots in MAAC games (#1). Rider outscored Siena 28-13 on foul line in its 85-77 home win over the Saints Jan 5; Siena made 10-24 on arc, but turned ball over 20 times (-3). Teams split last six series games; Broncs lost their last five visits to Albany, losing 87-81 here in MAAC tourney LY. Rider won five of its last six games; they’re 8-5 in MAAC, 2-4 on road, winning at Marist/Manhattan. MAAC home favorites of 5+ points are 5-13 ATS TY.
Quinnipiac went 4-32 on arc in its 71-51 home loss to St Peter’s Jan 18; Bobcats get 44.3% of their points on arc (#3), so 4-32 in a big deal. Peacocks won five of last seven series games. Bobcats lost three of last four visits to Jersey City. Quinnipiac lost six of its last eight games, is 6-6 in MAAC, losing three of last four road games- they scored 58 ppg in last three games. St Peter’s won five of its last six games; they’re 8-5 in MAAC, winning last four home games, three of them by 5 or fewer points. MAAC home favorites of 5+ points are 5-13 ATS TY.
Canisius turned ball over 22 times in its 84-65 loss at Monmouth Jan 10; teams split last ten series games- Hawks lost their last two visits to Canisius, by 15-14 points. Monmouth lost three of last four games; they’re 7-5 in MAAC, 2-4 on road, losing last two road games by total of five points. Hawks are shooting only 43.5% inside arc (#342). Canisius lost five of its last six games, is 4-9 in MAAC, splitting six home games- they lost their last two games, by total of 4 points. MAAC home favorites of 5 or fewer points are 14-6 ATS this season.
Marist made 10-21 on arc, won 70-58 at Fairfield Jan 8, just their second win in last 10 series games. Red Foxes won four of last six games after starting season 2-13; they’re 5-7 in MAAC, 2-4 on road, winning at Fairfield/Niagara- they’ve made 37.6% of their 3’s in MAAC play. #2 in league. Fairfield lost five of its last seven games; they’re 5-7 in MAAC, losing last four road games. Stags are turning ball over 22.1% of time (#324). Stags won three of last four visits to McCann Center. MAAC home favorites of 5 or fewer points are 14-6 ATS.
Davidson won five of its last seven games, is 6-5 in A-14, losing last two road games, at VCU by 11, at GW in four OT’s. Wildcats are making 36.5% of their 3’s, 78% on foul line, both best in A-14 games- they play a slow (#324) pace. Davidson won its last six games with St Bonaventure; teams split two meetings in Olean. Bonnies won their last five games, are 9-3 in A-14, 4-1 at home, with only home loss by 6 to Rhode Island. St Bona is experience team #335 but they’re hot right now. A-14 home favorites of 5 or fewer points are 7-6 ATS this season.
Harvard was favored to win Ivy League, but lost three of last four games, with losses by total of five points- they’re 3-3 in Ivy, with five of those six games on road- they won only Ivy home game, by 5 over Dartmouth. Cornell upset Harvard twice LY, after losing 14 of previous 16 series games; teams split last four meetings in Cambridge. Cornell is 3-14 overall, 2-4 in Ivy League, losing all three Ivy road tilt, by 14-11-15 points; Big Red is shooting only 30.3% on arc (#306). Crimson is shooting 62.4% on line in Ivy games. Ivy League home favorites are 7-4 ATS.
Penn won its last five games, including a win over Temple; they’re 4-2 in Ivy League, 2-1 at home, with lone loss to Princeton. Quakers have made only 24.4% of their 3’s in Ivy League games, but their eFG% defense in Ivy tilts is best in league. Penn won its last five games with Brown (4-1 ATS); Bears lost their last two games in Palestra, by 5-10 points. Brown swept four home games the last two weekends; they lost their only Ivy road game, by 14 at Yale. Bears are turning ball over 22.7% of time (#338). Ivy League home favorites are 7-4 ATS this season.
Iona was outscored 39-14 in second half of its 72-49 loss at Manhattan 12 days ago; Gaels shot 32.6% for game, their first loss in last nine series games. Manhattan lost its last six visits to New Rochelle. Jaspers won its last three games, is 7-5 in MAAC, splitting six road games- they’re forcing turnovers 23.1% of time (#22). Manhattan’s eFG% is #301; they’re a defensive team, for sure. Iona won both its games since the first Manhattan game; they’re #2 experience team in country, but have an interim coach. MAAC home favorites of 5 or fewer points are 14-6 ATS.
North Dakota State outscored Fort Wayne 26-8 over final 6:48 of their 71-60 road win 13 days ago. Teams split last eight meetings; Mastodons posted upset wins in their last two visits to Fargo. Fort Wayne won three of last four games, is 5-6 in Summit, 2-3 on road; Mastodons are turning ball over 19.4% of time in Summit games, worst in league. ND State won its last five games, is 9-2 in Summit, 5-0 at home, with three wins by 9 or fewer points. Summit League home favorites of 9+ points are 3-7 ATS this year.
South Dakota State won 80-68 in Denver Jan 8; Pioneers were 1-20 on arc. Jackrabbits are 13-2 in series games, 6-0 in games played here, four of them by 12+ points. Denver lost five in row, 15 of last 16 games; they’re 1-10 in Summit, 0-5 on road, but none of their road losses were by more than 12 points. Pioneers have made only 33% of their 3’s in Summit games, worst in league. SD State won four in row, nine of last ten games; they’re 9-2 in Summit, 5-0 at home, with three of five home wins by 17+ points. Summit League home favorites of 9+ points are 3-7 ATS this year.
Wright State is 11-2 in Horizon, but one of losses was 76-72 loss at UIC Jan 12, Flames’ third straight series win. UIC lost three of last four visits to Dayton, losing by 14-38-4 points. UIC won six of its last nine games after an injury-plagued 6-12 start; Flames are experience team #48 that turns ball over 23.2% of time (#342)- they won four of last five road games. Wright State is 7-0 at home in Horizon, with five of seven wins by 12+ points- they’ve made 42.9% of their 3’s in league games. Horizon League double digit home favorites are 3-7 ATS this season.