NFL Betting Trends & Systems

Vikings (8-3) @ Seahawks (9-2)— Seahawks won last three games, winning last two in OT as Wilson carries team towards playoffs. Seattle is 5-11-1 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite, 1-4 TY- both their losses TY came at home. Six of their last nine games went over. Minnesota won six of last seven games after a 2-2 start; they are 3-3 SU on road, with favorites covering five of six games. Vikings are 5-10 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog, 1-3 TY- five of their last six games went over. Seattle won last four series games, all by 10+ points; Vikings lost last three visits here, with last win in ’06. Vikings are 2-8 SU/ATS in last ten post-bye games. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 8-9 ATS, 5-6 at home; NFCNorth road underdogs are 3-5...

Redskins (1-7) @ Bills (5-2)— Washington scored total of 36 points in last five games, with no TD’s on 14 drives in last two games; they’re 13-9 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog, 2-1 TY. Redskins’ last five games stayed under the total. Buffalo allowed 21-31 points in splitting last two games, after giving up 14 ppg in first five games; they’re 0-3 ATS as a home favorite this year. Since ’12, Bills are 33-25-1 ATS coming off a loss; five of their seven games stayed under total. Buffalo won six of last seven series games, losing last meeting 35-25; Redskins lost last three visits here, but also haven’t been here since ’03. AFC East favorites are 5-3 ATS this year outside the division, 3-3 at home; NFC East road underdogs are 5-2 ATS. Titans (4-4) @ Panthers (4-3)— Tennessee scored 23+ points in their wins, 17 or less in losses (7 or less in 3 of 4 losses); they’re 2-0 in Tannehill starts, converting 11-24 third down plays- five of their last seven games stayed under total. Titans are 11-21 ATS in last 32 games as a road dog, 1-2 TY. Carolina won four of its last five games but lost two of three at home; they’re 9-11 ATS in last 20 games as a home favorite, 1-1 TY. Panthers converted only 9 of last 40 third down plays; their last three games went over total. Home side lost four of last five series games; Titans won 37-17/30-3 in last two visits to Charlotte. AFC South road underdogs are 8-2 ATS outside their division; NFC South non-divisional favorites are 2-5 ATS, 2-4 at home. Bears (3-4) @ Eagles (4-4)— Eagles won last four series games, last of which was 16-15 upset (+6.5) win in LY’s playoffs, when they tipped a last-second Chicago FG to seal the win. Bears lost last two visits here, 54-11/31-3. Chicago lost its last three games overall, allowing 25.7 ppg; they won both their true road games- this is their first true road game since Week 3. Chicago is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog; they allowed 15 or fewer pints in their three wins, are 0-4 when allowing more than 15 points. Philly ran ball for 218 yards in LW’s 31-13 win, after running for 102.3 ypg the three games before that; Iggles are 3-8 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite, 1-2 TY. Philly scored 31+ points in its wins, 18.5 ppg in their losses. Vikings (6-2) @ Chiefs (5-3)— Chiefs lost last three home games but still lead AFC West; backup QB Moore played well in 31-24 home loss to Packers LW, but he ain’t Mahomes (check status), and has started only six games since 2011. Chiefs allowed 28+ points in four of last six games; they’re 17-19 ATS in last 36 home games. Vikings won last four games, have extra prep time after LW’s Thursday win; they were held to 16-6 points in their losses, are 6-0 scoring more than 16. Under Zimmer, Vikings are 26-18 ATS on the road. Home side won last five series games; Vikings lost last four trips to Arrowhead, all by 5 or fewer points. NFC North teams are 11-7-1 ATS outside the division, 4-2-1 on road; AFC West teams are 10-12, 3-7 at home. Jets (1-6) @ Dolphins (0-7)— How are the Jets a road favorite over anyone? Adam Gase coaches against his old team for first time here; he was 23-26 SU in Miami. Gang Green already has five loses by 14+ points; they’re been outscored 93-35 in three road games, are 3-5-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite. Jets converted only 9 of last 70 third down plays. Short week for 0-7 Miami team that covered its last three games, but has been outscored 130-20 in second half of games this season. Dolphins are -14 in turnovers, with only one takeaway in last four games; five of their last six games stayed under total. Dolphins won last three series games, by 3-8-7 points; Jets lost their last two visits here. Miami is 6-4 ATS in last ten games as a series underdog Colts (5-2) @ Steelers (3-4)— Indy won three in row, five of last six games; they’re 3-0 ATS on road this year, with only road loss in OT vs Chargers in Week 1. Colts allowed 30-31 points in their two losses, are 5-0 allowing fewer than 30. Steelers won three of last four games after an 0-3 start, covering four of last five; they’re 7-10 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite, 1-2 TY. Wasn’t impressed by Monday’s win over a hideous Miami team, but Steelers have had a positive turnover ratio in each of their last six games (+9 for year). Pitt won last five series games, with last loss in ’08; Colts lost 14 of last 15 visits here, with that ’08 game the only win. AFC South non-divisional road teams are 9-2 ATS; AFC North home teams are 0-11 ATS. Lions (3-3-1) @ Raiders (3-4)— Oakland lost its last two games, allowing 42-27 points; this is their first home game since Week 2. Raiders are 5-9-2 ATS in last 16 games with spread of 3 or fewer points. Four of their last five games went over. Detroit lost three of its last four games; six of their seven games were decided by 6 or fewer points. Under Patricia, Lions are 6-2 ATS as road underdogs, 5-4 in games with spread of 3 or fewer points. Four of their last five games went over the total. Detroit allowed 91 points in last three games; they’ve held only one team (LAC) under 23. Detroit won last four series games, including last two visits here; their last loss to Oakland was in ’96. NFC North teams are 11-7-1 ATS outside the division, 4-2-1 on road. Buccaneers (2-5) @ Seahawks (6-2)— These teams came into the NFL together...

Chiefs (4-2) @ Broncos (2-4)— KC lost its last two games, Denver won its last two, so a pivotal game here in AFC West. In their first four games, Chiefs scored 15 TD’s on 38 drives; in their last two games, four TD’s on 18 drives. How bad is Mahomes’ ankle? KC is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games as a road favorite, 2-1 this year- they’ve been outscored 66-58 inn 2nd half of games. Denver hasn’t allowed an offensive TD in its last two games; Chargers’ TD in Week 5 was on a punt return. Broncos are 8-4 ATS in last dozen games as a home underdog; their two SU home losses this year both came on last-second FG’s. Chiefs won last seven series games, winning last four visits to Denver, by 16-3-3-4 points. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 4-3...

Panthers (3-2) vs Buccaneers (2-3) (@ London)— Carolina is 3-0 with Allen at QB, scoring 29.3 ppg; they scored 10 TD’s on 33 drives, after scoring three TD’s on 26 drives in Newton’s 2 starts. Bucs (+6.5) posted 20-14 upset in Charlotte in Week 2, holding Panthers to 39 RY, just their 4th win in last 13 series games; teams combined to convert only 5-26 third down plays. Carolina has nine takeaways (+5) in its last three games- they covered five of last six pre-bye games. Tampa Bay allowed 31+ points in four of five games, giving up 12 TD’s on last 33 drives; they split last four game, despite being plus in turnovers all four games. Bucs are on road for third week in row; they’re 14-12 ATS in last 26 games as an NFC South underdog. Bengals (0-5) @ Ravens (3-2)— Winless Cincy has three losses by 4 or fewer points; they’re 9-3 ATS in last dozen games as road underdogs. In last four games, Bengals allowed 191.5 YR/game and were outscored 61-19 in first half. In their last three games, Cincy has six plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 17. Ravens won in OT at Pittsburgh LW; they covered six of last nine games the week after playing Pitt. Four of five Baltimore games went over; they’ve run ball for 192.2 yards/game. Ravens are 6-10 ATS in last 16 points as a home favorite, 0-2 TY- they covered once in last nine division games. Teams split last six series games; Bengals won three of last five trips here- four of last five were decided by 5 or fewer points. Seahawks (4-1) @ Browns (2-3)— Seattle had four extra days to prep for this; they played on Thursday LW, Browns played on Monday. Seahawks are 4-1 with three wins by 1 or 2 points; they’re 5-1-1 ATS in last seven games as road underdogs. Seattle is 6-9-2 ATS in last 17 games on natural grass. Cleveland is 2-3 with only one game decided by less than 15 points; they’re 0-2 SU at home, coring 13 points in both games- -they’re 6-13 ATS in last 19 games as a favorite Seahawks lost two of last three visits to Lake Erie; home side won four of last five series games; Seattle’s last trip here was in 2011. NFC West non-conference road underdogs are 5-0 ATS; AFC North home favorites are 0-5. Texans (3-2) @ Chiefs (4-1)— Houston exploded for a 53-32 win LW after underdogs covered their first four games; Texans split their first two road games, covered five of last six games when getting points on the road- three of their last four games stayed under. Houston is 10-6 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win. Chiefs lost 19-13 LW after scoring 33.8 ppg in their 4-0 start; they’re 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite. KC lost field position by 11-7 yards in their last two games- their 6.7 yards/pass attempt LW is a season low. Chiefs won four of last five series games, winning last one 42-34 in ’17; teams split two games here, last of which was in ’13. AFC South non-divisional road underdogs are 7-1 ATS; AFC West home favorites are 1-4. Saints (4-1) @ Jaguars (2-3)—  Saints won all three of Bridgewater’s starts, scoring 33-12-31 points; they’re 18-8 ATS in their last 26 road games, 8-3 in last 11 as a road favorite, 9-4 in last 13 games on natural grass- they’re 7-1 ATS in last eight games where spread was 3 or fewer points. NO opponents converted only 17 of last 49 third down plays. Jaguars gave up 285 RY in LW’s 34-27 loss at Carolina; Jags are 9-6 ATS in last 15 games as a home dog, but 11-18-1 in last 30 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Jax ran ball for 418 yards the last two weeks; Home side won five of six series games; Saints are 4-2 vs Jags, but lost two of last three visits here, last of which was in 2011. Eagles (3-2) @ Vikings (3-2)— Eagles won last two games, scoring 34-31 points after a 1-2 start; they’re 5-3 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog. Philly won field position by 7+ yards in four of their five games- they held all five opponents under 90 YR. Vikings scored 28+ points in their three wins, 16-6 in their losses. Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 24-7-1 ATS as a home favorite; Vikings ran ball for 172+ yards in 4 of 5 games- Bears held them to 40. Under is 4-1 in Viking games, only one of which was decided by less than 10 points. Philly is 5-3 in last eight series games; they split last six visits to the Twin Cities, last of which was ’13. Wentz grew up in North Dakota, so this is as close to a home game as he’ll get in the NFL. Redskins (0-5) @ Dolphins (0-4)— Washington fired Jay Gruden Monday, will probably try to run ball more with Callahan the new coach; Redskins haven’t said who the QB will be- they’re 6-4 ATS in last ten games as a road favorite. Washington was outscored 28-0 in 2nd half of last two games. Miami has been outscored 81-0 in 2nd half of games this year; they’re 0-4 ATS, with a 30-10 loss the closest game they’ve played so far. Dolphins were outscored 132-20 in their first three home games. Redskins lost last five visits here, with four of five losses by 7 or less points. NFC East teams are 4-8 ATS outside their division; AFC East teams are 5-6. I would not recommend wagering on this game- two very bad teams. 49ers (4-0) @ Rams (3-2)— Rams had four extra days to prep for this; they played on Thursday LW, 49ers played on Monday. Sense of urgency for LA with 49ers two games up in loss column; Rams scored 69 points in last...

Ravens (2-2) @ Steelers (1-3)— Baltimore allowed 1,033 yards, 73 points in losing its last two games; in their last three games, Ravens allowed 7.7/7.9/10.5 yards/pass attempt- they’re 5-10-1 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog. Baltimore has run ball for 205.8 ypg; three of their four games went over. Pittsburgh had little resistance in its win Monday night; Steelers are 7-9 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite. Pitt still hasn’t run the ball for more than 81 yards in a game this year; they’ve converted only 12-44 third down plays, but haven’t allowed a first half TD in their last two games. Steelers won four of last five series games, but Ravens are 3-2 in last five visits to Steel City. Bears (3-1) vs Raiders (2-2) (@ London)— Oakland traded LB Kahlil Mack to the Bears last summer; this is their first meeting since. Bears’ backup QB Daniel has been in NFL for 10 years, but this will be only his 5th NFL start (2-2)- he started two games LY. Chicago won its last three games, outscoring foes 44-6 in first half; they’re +7 in turnovers in those games. Under is 3-1 in Chicago games. Oakland split its first four games, scoring 10-14 in losses, 24-31 in wins- Raiders allowed 28-34-24 points in last three games. This is Oakland’s third straight road game, albeit a neutral site; Raiders are 9-17-2 ATS in last 28 games as a dog. Teams split 14 meetings overall. Cardinals (0-3-1) @ Bengals (0-4)— How are the Bengals favored over anyone located south of Saskatchewan? Cincy is 0-4, scoring six TD’s on 45 drives, with 16 sacks allowed, 19 3/outs, and a -5 turnover ratio- they were outscored 48-13 in first half of their last three games. Brngals are 4-8 ATS in last dozen games as a home favorite. Cardinals lost their last three games, and were down 24-6 in the game they tied; Redbirds are 5-3-1 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog. Murray has been sacked 20 times in his first four games. Arizona won three of last four series games, but lost six of seven visits here, wth last one in ’11- their last win in Cincy was in ‘07. Jaguars (2-2) @ Panthers (2-2)— Battle of backup QB’s here. Jaguars split their two road games, which were decided by total of 3 points- they’re 10-8-1 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog. Jax ran ball for 269 yards in Denver LW; they’ve converted only 9 of last 38 third down plays, but are 3-0 ATS in Minshew’s starts. Carolina is 2-0 SU with Allen at QB; they’re 8-11 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite. Road team won all four Carolina games; they’ve turned ball over eight times in four games (-1). Teams split six meetings, with home side 4-2 in those games; Jaguars lost two of three visits here, with all three games decided by six or fewer points. Vikings (2-2) @ Giants (2-2)— Vikings are 0-2 on road, scoring 16-6 points, turning ball over six times (-4); they ran ball for 193.7 yards/game in Weeks 1-3, but were held to 40 YR in Chicago LW. Minnesota is 10-6 ATS in last 16 games as a road favorite. Giants are 2-0 with rookie QB Jones starting, scoring 32-24 points; they covered once in their last seven games as a home underdog. Big Blue was 5-23 on 3rd down in Weeks 1-2; they’re 14-26 in Jones’ two starts. Minnesota won six of last eight series games, last five of which were decided by 16+ points. Vikings won four of last six visits here; last one was in 2013. Patriots (4-0) @ Redskins (0-4)— Over last 20 years. favorites are 5-2 ATS in Week 5 games if an unbeaten team plays a winless team. Patriots won last three series games by 45-7-17 points; they won 34-27 in last visit here, back in 2011. New England has been awesome so far, allowing one TD on 48 drives; three of their four wins are by 16+ points. NE has eight takeaways in two road wins (+6); they’re 4-6 ATS in last ten games as a road favorite. Redskins are overmatched here; their QB’s are awful- Skins scored 3 points LW vs a Giant defense that allowed 31.3 ppg in Weeks 1-3. Washington was outscored 45-6 in first half of its last two games. Jets (0-3) @ Eagles (2-2)— Darnold (mono) is a ??? here; his conditioning can’t be good. Jets lost eight of last ten post-bye games (3-7 ATS); they started three different QB’s in their losses this year- Falk likely gets his 2nd NFL start here. Jets are 7-12-2 ATS in last 21 games as a road dog, 1-0 this year. Eagles split their first four games, all decided by 7 or fewer points; they’re 2-8 ATS in last ten games as a home favorite. Three of their four games went over the total. Eagles have converted 32-57 third down plays this year. Philly won last 10 series games by average score of 27-17; Jets lost last five trips here, with last one in 2011. Buccaneers (2-2) @ Saints (3-1)— Tampa Bay had 28 points at halftime in each of its last two games; they gained 499-464 TY the last two weeks, averaging 8.7 yards/pass attempt in both games, but Bucs have also allowed 31+ points in three games this year. TB was outscored 75-50 in 2nd half of games so far, but Arians is helping Winston thrive at QB. Saints are 2-0 in Bridgewater’s starts, they held Dallas to 45 YR LW after Cowboys had run for 179 yards/game in Weeks 1-3.  Since 2014, NO is 12-21-1 ATS as a home favorite. Teams split last eight series games, splitting last four games in each stadium. Falcons (1-3) @ Texans (2-2)— Atlanta lost its first two road tilts by 16-3 points; they’re 1-8 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog,...

Bears (1-1) @ Redskins (0-2)— Chicago scored only one TD on 21 drives in its first two games, converting 6-26 on 3rd down; Bears got a 54-yard FG at the gun LW for its first win, temporarily ending their kicking dilemma. Last 5+ years, Bears are 3-4 as road favorites. Redskins allowed 32-31 points in losing pair of division games; they allowed 7.8/8.4 yards/pass attempt, giving up three TD plays of 50+ yards. Skins are 5-7 ATS in last dozen tries as a home underdog. Washington won last seven series games, with five of seven by 4 or fewer points. Bears lost last three visits here, by 2-8-5 points (last visit here in ’13). Skins covered nine of last 12 non-division games, won last six Monday night home...

Atlanta @ Minnesota (-4)— Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 22-7-1 vs spread as a home favorite, 16-2-1 outside NFC North. Vikings won last three series games; Falcons won three of last five visits to the Twin Cities. Last two years, Atlanta is 4-12 vs spread on road, 1-6 as a road underdog; they’re 6-14 vs spread n last 20 non-division games. Falcons won three of last four road openers; they split last eight season openers. Five of their last six RO’s stayed under. Minnesota won four of last five season openers; they won/covered their last four home openers- Vikings’ last five HO’s stayed under. Minnesota struggled to find a kicker this summer; they traded a 5th-round pick for a kicker, then cut him three weeks later. Washington @ Philadelphia (-8.5)— Keenum is on his 4th team in four years; he started 39 games (21-18) the last three years. Eagles won last four series games, all by 10+ points; Skins lost last two visits here, 34-24/28-13. Since 2012, Iggles are 7-13-1 vs spread in NFC East home games; under Pederson, Philly is 8-8-1 as a HF (2-6 LY). Last three years, Redskins are 11-8 vs spread as a road underdog- they covered once in last six NFC East road games. Washington snapped a 5-game skid on Opening Day LY; they won last three road openers. Over is 7-3 in their last ten RO’s. Philly started 1-0 in seven of last eight seasons; they won four of last five home openers (under 4-1). Redskins’ LT Williams is holding out; thats a problem. Buffalo at Jets (-3)— Teams split eight meetings last four years, going 2-2 in each stadium; average total in last three meetings is 52. Gase lost three of last four games vs Bills when he was in Miami. Jets won six of their last eight home openers; since ’13, they’re 16-8-2 as a home underdog. Over last decade, Gang Green is 11-3 as an AFC East home dog. Since 2014, Buffalo is 2-6-1 vs spread as a road favorite; they’re opening on road for first time in five years. Over last decade, Bills are 1-3 vs spread as an RF in AFC East road games. Bills lost last three road openers, scoring 7-3-3 points. Gase was 7-3-1 as a home underdog with the Dolphins. Jets picked up the kicker Minnesota cut, so they’re struggling to find a kicker, too. Baltimore (-4.5) @ Miami— Miami traded LT Tunsil and two other starters for mostly draft picks, so they’ve already given up on this year, like Oakland did LY. Ravens won last three Week 1 games by combined score of 80-10; they’re 7-4 vs spread in last 11 road openers. Baltimore won last two games wth Miami by a combined score of 78-6, with last meeting in ’17. Since 2013, Baltimore is 6-11-1 as a road favorite. Over is 8-3-1 in their last dozen RO’s. Miami covered five of its last six home openers  (4-2 SU). Dolphins’ last ten home openers stayed under the total; nine of their last ten RO’s went over. Over last eight years, Ravens are 14-25-2 vs spread in non-division road games. Since 2012, Dolphins are 14-7-2 as home underdogs, 9-3-1 outside the AFC East. 36-year old Fitzpatrick leads an offense that just traded his blindside protection. San Francisco @ Tampa Bay (-1)— When Arians was in Arizona, he won his last six meetings with SF. Last four years, 49ers are 5-27 SU on road; they’re 8-12 vs spread in last 20 road tilts outside NFC West. Over last five years, Bucs are 16-24 vs spread at home. 49ers lost last four road openers (1-3 vs spread), losing by average of 13.8 ppg; four of their last six road openers stayed under. Tampa Bay won its last two Week 1 games, scoring 31-48 points; they didn’t play in Week 1 in 2017 because of a hurricane. Arians was 2-3 in openers while he was Arizona’s coach. Keeping an eye out to see if the hurricane impacts life in the Tampa Bay area. Kansas City (-3.5) @ Jacksonville— Chiefs won last four season openers; they covered five of last six road openers. Over is 5-3 in their last eight RO’s. Since ’13, KC is 15-7 vs spread as road favorites, 8-4 outside AFC West. KC won last four series games, pounding Jags 30-14 (-3) at home LY- they’re 2-4 SU in six visits here, with last visit in ‘13. Under Marrone, Jaguars are 6-4 as home underdogs, after being 10-24-1 from 2009-15. Jacksonville won its last two season openers, but lost six of last seven home openers- they’re 3-9 vs spread in 12 HO’s. Four of their last five home openers went over. Tennessee @ Cleveland (-5.5)— Lot of pressure on Browns; they’re actually favored to win AFC North. Since re-joining NFL in 1999, Browns are 1-18-1 SU in Week 1; they tied Steelers in LY’s opener. Cleveland did cover five of last seven home openers. Tennessee beat Browns last two years, by total of five points- they nipped Cleveland 12-9 in OT here LY. Titans lost last three season openers, but won/covered five of last six road openers. Over last nine years, Browns are 7-14-2 as a HF, 6-10-2 outside AFC North- over last three years, they’re 1-3 ATS when favored. Tennessee was 6-4 vs spread as an underdog LY, in Vrabel’s first year as HC. Rams (-3) @ Carolina— Under McVay, Rams won their season openers 46-9/33-13; they’re 7-6 as RF under McVay, 3-4 outside NFC West. Since 2014, Panthers are 7-3 as home dogs, 4-0 outside the NFC South. Since 2000, Rams are 4-15 vs spread in road openers (4-5 in last nine). Four of their last five road openers stayed under total. Carolina won its last five home openers, allowing 8-3 points last two years; they won four of last five season openers. Under is 5-1 in their last six HO’s. Carolina won six of last seven series games, but teams haven’t met in McVay era....

Green Bay @ Chicago (-4)— Packers won 15 of last 18 series games; they’re 8-1 in last nine trips here, losing 24-17 in Week 15 LY. Chicago was 6-0 as a home favorite LY, after being 11-21 from 2010-17; last three years, Bears are 7-1-1 vs spread in NFC Central home games. Last two years, Green Bay is 4-10-1 vs spread as a single digit underdog, 4-6-1 as a road dog. Over last decade, favorites are 16-9 vs spread in Packers’ NFC Central road games. Green Bay won last four season openers, but lost five of last seven road openers; over is 11-2 in their last 13 RO’s. Chicago started 0-1 the last five years; they lost four of last five home openers (under...

Cardinals (1-4) @ Vikings (2-2-1)— Arizona got first win LW, but scored only one TD on a drive longer than 26 yards- they were +5 in turnovers at SF, after being -4 in first four games. Redbirds covered last three games, with last two losses by 2-3 points, after losing 24-6/34-0 in first two games, when Bradford was the QB. Arizona is 14-54 (25.9%) on 3rd down for season. Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 19-6 as home favorites, 1-1 this year- they lost last home game as a 17-point favorite. Vikings’ OL is struggling; they ran ball for 14-54-77 yards in last three games. Home side won last six series games; Cardinals lost their last eight trips to Minnesota- their last win here was in ’77. Vikings won four of last five series games overall. Chargers (3-2) @ Browns (2-2-1)— All five Cleveland games were decided by four or fewer points; three of them went to OT. Browns have had 74 possessions in five games, Chargers have had 50 in theirs. Cleveland is 2-0-1 at home, 3-0 vs spread, after being 3-12 vs spread at home the last two years. Chargers are scoring 27.4 ppg; they won 31-20 (-7.5) at Buffalo in their only games outside LA this year- they lost to Rams in Coliseum. Since moving to LA, Bolts are 5-3-2 vs spread on road- over is 4-1 in their games this season. Chargers are 7-3 in series, splitting last two years; they beat Browns 19-10 at home LY after losing 20-17 here in ’16. AFC North teams are 9-3 vs spread outside their division; AFC West teams are 6-5-1, 4-1-1 as favorites. Bears (3-1) @ Dolphins (3-2)— Chicago split its first two road games, which were decided by total of 3 points; since 2014, Bears are 0-2 as road favorites. Chicago allowed total of 41 points in its last three games; they’re +5 in turnovers the last two games. Miami lost its last two games, giving up 38-27 points; their OFFENSE allowed two 4th quarter TD’s in collapse at Cincy LW. Dolphins are 2-0 at home, winning by 7-8 points; under Gase, Fish are 6-2-1 as home dogs. Game was Bears’ OC in 2015, before coming to Miami. Chicago lost its last four post-bye games, outscored 143-51. Home side lost six of last seven series games, with Miami winning three of last four. Chicago won three of last four visits here, with last visit in ’10. Panthers (3-1) @ Redskins (2-2)— Washington defense got riddled by New Orleans Monday nite, giving up 11.3 yds/pass attempt; Redskins scored 24-31 points in their two wins, 9-14 in two losses- under Gruden, they’re 13-15 vs spread at home. Panthers are 7-2 vs spread in last nine games with spread of 3 or fewer points. Carolina lost its only road game, in Atlanta; Panthers scored 31-33 points in winning their last two games with seven takeaways (+5)- their last three games went over total. Carolina won last five series games, last four all by 8+ points; they won 21-13/26-15 in last two visits here. NFC South teams are 5-6 vs spread outside division; NFC East teams are 5-11, 1-6 at home. Since 2015, Redskins are 15-7 vs spread coming off a loss. Colts (1-4) @ Jets (2-3)— Jets scored 48-34 points in their two wins, 12-17-12 in their losses; they ran ball for 323-169 yards in the wins, average of 61 yds/game in losses- they’re 1-1 at home. Under Bowles, Jets are 16-9-1 vs spread at home. Colts lost last three games, giving up 37-38 points in last two; they split two road games, with both staying under total. Indy scored 20+ points in second half of last two games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last 10 home games. Home side lost five of last seven series games, with Jets winning three of last four; last three were all decided by 13+ points. Indy won three of last five visits here. AFC East teams are 6-1 vs spread in non-divisional home games; AFC South teams are 2-5 in non-divisional road games.  Steelers (2-2-1) @ Bengals (4-1)— Two weeks ago, Bengals had 28 points at halftime, then TE Eifert got hurt in 3rd quarter; since then, Cincy scored only two offensive TD’s on 14 drives- two of their three 4th quarter TD’s vs Miami Sunday were scored by the defense. Since ’14, Bengals are 12-13-1 as home favorites, 1-0 this year- they won their two home games by 11-10 points. Pitt scored 30+ points in three of last four games; they haven’t trailed at halftime yet this season (were tied twice). Steelers are underdog for first time this year; since ’13, they’re 9-6-1 vs spread as road dogs. Steelers won last six series games and 14 of last 17; they won last five visits here, last three by 2-4-3 points. Buccaneers (2-2) @ Falcons (1-4)— Atlanta allowed 43-37-41 points in its last three games, giving up 15 TD’s on 30 drives (foes are 23 of last 38 on 3rd down). Average total in their three home games is 69.3. Falcons scored 31-37-36 points at home; when their defenders return, they will start winning again. Under Quinn, Atlanta is 9-15 as home favorites. Tampa Bay is 3-4 vs spread in last seven post0bye games. Bucs gave up 30+ points in three of four games; under Koetter, they’re 8-6-1 as road underdogs. Atlanta is 13-6 in last 19 series games, winning last three by 15-14-3 points, but Bucs won two of last three visits here- home side lost five of last seven series games. Average total in Bucs’ last five visits here, 55.2.  Seahawks (2-3) vs Raiders (1-4) (@ London)— Very long trip for both sides, coming from west coast to play 10am PT game across pond. Seattle ran ball for 171-190 yards in last two games, which were decided by total of five points; they’re 2-5-1 vs spread in last eight games with spread of 3 or less points. Oakland allowed 32 ppg in last three...